Saturday, November 11, 2006

The Fantasy Man + New Dynasty League = Success

Fantasy Baseball Dynasty leagues are quickly becoming popular among some fantasy circles and Fantasy Baseball Express and The Fantasy Man are heavy into the mix this off-season. I recently signed onto a brand new 16 team Dynasty league gift wrapped with everything from a 25 man roster, $85 million salary cap using real players' salaries from 2006, a minor league system to three pages of rules I still have yet to finish! The point here is two-fold. First, I am excited about this league because it gives me some baseball excitement here in November as I am already bored with Football. Second, this gives me a chance to research manager tendencies and strategies in hopes to give you, the listeners and followers of Fantasy Baseball Express credible, reliable, and most importantly, realistic advice, guidance and information. Also, the experience to comment more on dynasty leagues will be invaluable and contribute to The Fantasy Man Show Baseball Podcast in a major way!

The Basics
To start, its a regular straight snake draft. Lucky me drew pick #9 which meant I wouldn't get a 2nd pick until the 24th pick, but I digress. Over the last week or so, I have been drafting my top 25 draft list for the upcoming 2007 season. Being this is a dynasty league, and using real salaries from last year, the object here in the 1st round seems to be the idea that a manager needs to get the best overall talent, for years to come, at the best price. Needless to say, players like Miguel Cabrera at $472,000, Ryan Howard at $355,000, and Chase Utley at $500,000 are already off the board with Albert Pujols going #1 at $14 million. Unbelievable!! I was figuring Pujols, ARod, Soriano, Reyes, Ortiz, Beltran, etc., would be gone and was hoping to land a cheap Cabrera or Utley at pick #9.....UNBELIEVABLE!!!

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The Trend
The point here is that in this dynasty league, and probably others like it, the cheap but solid players will take off first. You should now expect guys like the ones mentioned above, Jose Reyes, David Wright, Jason Bay, Robinson Cano, Grady Sizemore, Justin Mourneau to be all possible first rounders. Again, this is my first Dynasty draft this year and we are currently waiting for the 5th pick. However, just looking at the results so far this is the trend I am figuring. As a result, it is seemingly possible that I might have to make an educated choice from guys like Alex Rodriquez, David Ortiz, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Beltran, and Lance Berkman! That's a nice choice to have to make, a difficult one, but a nice one at that!

Now, remember, this is a new league and a continuing league for years to come. We keep all of our players so choosing a player to build around in the first round is the key. We must be smart and there are some tips to follow depending on the route you want to take. Are you in a money league? Or is it a free league? Do you want to win this year? Or build for years to come? You need to ask yourself these four questions. The answers here should determine how you draft. Let's take my case. Four players are off the board, four players that you can build a team around. I have to ask myself, do I win now or do I build a powerhouse? Win now would mean drafting Alex Rodriquez, Alfonso Soriano, or Carlos Beltran with my 9th pick. Expense, but with a "win now" attittude. In this case, I'd have to basically just pick the best player available with each draft pick while keeping an eye on my salary cap of $85 million. A $25 Million ARod would put me in quite a hole to start the draft assuming he was to fall to me. These are the things I am thinking about and things you should be thinking about when doing a draft in a dynasty league such as this. At the same time, I am taunted with the idea of drafting a $385,000 Justin Mourneau or a $374,000 David Wright to be the face of my franchise and the face of my potential powershouse. Decisions, decisions, decisions.

My Answer
After writing the first half of this article, then helping my wife paint while I collect my thoughts, then coming back to finish this, I have decided to slowly build and create the powerhouse! I look at it like this.......
1. I am The Fantasy Man, I have a reputation to uphold. If I go and use up all my funds with a "win now" approach, I may hurt myself later in the draft and hurt my team overall.
2. I plan on sticking with this league, in 2 or 3 years from now, assuming its still up and running, I want to be the man on top and that's a real test to my skills, talent, and mind of being a Fantasy Baseball Expert.
3. By spending less money now, I will have the option of taking someone high priced later in the draft to fill spots with more solid, more "sure thing" players.
4. Lastly, I could always take my high upside cheap players and use them as trade bait later on to make a push for league championship.

So that's that. You just have to use the ole' noodle! I will keep everyone updated as I draft and will post the completed draft in the draft tools area at Fantasy Baseball Express at http://www.fantasybaseballexpress.com for anyone to use.

Remember, you can visit the website and personally email me with any fantasy baseball questions you may have! Thank you for visiting Fantasy Baseball Express.

FM

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