Wednesday, December 30, 2009

The Fantasy Man's 2010 Closer Report

Fantasy Man's 2010 Closer Report
Team by Team - Updated Whenever
Last Updated:
January 1st, 2010

2010 Closer Mixed League Rankings
Mariano Rivera
Jonathan Broxton
Joe Nathan
Jonathan Papelbon
Francisco Rodriguez
Joakim Soria
Jose Valverde
Heath Bell
Brian Wilson
Frank Francisco
Francisco Cordero
Andrew Bailey
Carlos Marmol
Huston Street
Brad Lidge
Ryan Franklin
Billy Wagner
Rafael Soriano
Trevor Hoffman
David Aardsma
Brian Fuentes
Jason Frasor
Matt Capps
Kerry Wood
Leo Nunez
Matt Lindstrom
Joel Zumaya
Joel Hanrahan
Fernando Rodney
Chad Qualls
Juan Gutierrez
J. Johnson
Mike Gonzalez
Octavio Dotel


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Baltimore: There should be a nice spring battle between newly acquired Mike Gonzalez and Jim Johnson. Gonzalez has superior stuff but he's a bit injury prone and has never been automatic, so bid with caution. I'd draft as a second or third closer but Jim Johnson and Koji Uehera are pretty much waiver wire material at this point.

Boston: Jon Papelbon will look to bounce back a bit in his contract year so you have to like that. Daniel Bard is waiting in the wings and could be a late round stashee in case Papelbon gets traded at the deadline...which is probably unlikely.

Chicago: Bobby Jenks is still the closer and probably a bit under hyped which could mean he can be had on the cheap. He dealt with some injury issues last year but will be ready for spring training. The dark hourse here however is Matt Thornton who could wrestle the job away should Jenks get injured or stink!

Cleveland: Kerry Wood was signed to be the primary closer last year had a down year as did Cleveland as a whole. Wood has always had health issues so handcuffing him with Chris Perez might be a smart move. Wood and Perez will be dirt cheap this year.

Detroit: Jose Valverde has signed with Detroit to be the primary closer. He'll be super solid all-around and ranks just inside the top 10 closers. Dark horse #1 should Valverde crap the bed is the oft-injured Joel Zumaya who will be dirt cheap with a ton of upside if he can stay healthy. Ryan Perry who has a 100MPH heater would be my dark horse #2 in this situation.

Kansas City: Joakim Soria is top 6 in my book but the Royals stink. The Mexicutioner has entrenched as the closer and as a candidate for 30+ saves and a fantastic ERA/WHIP! KC also has Juan Cruz as set up man, save vultur-er and holds guy.

Los Angeles: The Angels signed Fernando Rodney to help try to take away the job from Brian Fuentes. Anyone who watched the World Series knows that Fuentes is not the guy. Maybe I'm wrong but he'll be super cheap on draft day. Draft him, vulture some saves in the first half and just when Fuentes luck starts to run out, grab Rodney for the second half.

Minnesosta: Same ole Joe Nathan who gets you a lot of K's, low ERA, low WHIP, and 35-45 saves.

New York: Mariano Rivera is Mariano Rivera, what else do I need to say. He's money and even though he's another year older, he's still money. He'll stay relatively healthy and I don't feel that this is the year he'll finally breakdown as you can see that the Yankees plan to make another World Series run.... and they don't plan to do it again without Mo.

Oakland: ROY Andrew Bailey cemented himself in the role. The young pitching staff will be slightly better which means probably a ton of opportunities. Think San Francisco Giants!

Seattle: David Aardsma took over the job in the second half last year and was fantastic. He'll also be dirt cheap because no one knows if the Mariners will be any good. However, with now Cliff Lee and King Felix, you'll probably see an increase in save opportunities. Again, like San Francisco and Oakland.

Tampa Bay: Last year was a mess to try and figure out. This year there's no question that Rafael Soriano is your guy. In my opinion, he'll always be a set up type. J. P. Howell will be the set up and probably vulture a few saves when Soriano either falters or gets hurt..

Texas: Frank Francisco is a K machine and you have Neftali Feliz out there as a potential closer. It looks like Feliz will start and if so, I love Francisco who will be cheap again this year.

Toronto: Will the real Slim Shady please stand up?! Your guess is as good as mine. Jason Frasor is the listed closer on CBS.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Arizona: Chad Qualls is your penciled closer again with Aaron Heilman and Bob Howry in the mix! Juan Guetirrez saved 9 games late last year when Qualls got hurt and I wouldn't be surprised if Gutierrez steals the job away.

Atlanta: Billy Wagner is back baby! Yes, I think he'll be solid and he'll last all season. He's a quality reliever who is healthy and out of NY. Should be cheap!

Chicago: Sweet Lou announced that Carlos Marmol will be the primary closer, so that takes care of that. Marmol has electric stuff so let's hope he can get the most out of it. Huge upside here but keep in mind that there is some risk as he faltered when given the job last year.

Cincinnati: Francisco Cordero is entrenched as the primary closer and he's been decent, gets you high K's, but Cincinnati overall has struggled so opportunities could be limited.

Colorado: Huston Street is the closer. He's been a bit shakey lately but if he's healthy at spring training, he could be a top producer.

Florida: Leo Nunez took over last year and was solid. Should be cheap on draft day with not much competition.

Houston: Newly acquired Matt Lindstrom is the listed closer and should be cheap on draft day considering he hasn't proven that he can keep the job or stay healthy.

Los Angeles: Who doesn't love Jonathan Broxton???? He money.

Milwaukee: Trevor Hoffman should be your man again, expect 30-35 saves, an ERA that is increasing but with a decent WHIP.

New York: K-Rod in da house! Hopefully the Mets get another starter to give K-Rod more opportunities. I'm beginning to wonder if that will be a problem or not.

Philadelphia: Brad Lidge was terrible last year and the Phillies have no one else. Plus, I love how cheap I can get Lidge and stash! Ryan Madson would be the next guy in line but if anyone remembers the second half of last season, neither of these guys could get the job done.

Pittsburgh: Joel Hanrahan? Ugh... makes me want to punt saves. Octavio Dotel was just signed so we may have a cat fight on our hands!

San Diego: Heath Bell should be solid when and if he gets opportunites. Mike Adams in the background is money if Bell gets traded so keep an eye out here.

San Francisco: Brian Wilson quietly racked up almost 40 saves with a surprising ERA under 3 and a 1.20 WHIP. Look for Wilson to have an equally solid year now with more experience. There's some upside here.

St. Louis: Ryan Franklin took over last season and was solid. I think he'll be solid again and should go just out of the top 10 in drafts.

Washington: Matt Capps goes from one bad team to an even worse team. Good luck Matty! Have fun with that one!

Check out Todd "The True Guru" Farino's TheCloserReport.com for more updated Closer information!

14 comments:

Frank said...

Thanks! The most comprehensive closer wrap-up I've seen this season. (Maybe even last season too.) :-)

The Fantasy Man said...

Thanks man! This was the first one I posted, so as the season progresses it will get better and cleaner!

FM

Anonymous said...

RE: Reds situation. Jared Burton pitched pretty good as the 8th inning guy for them at the end of last year. YOu didn't mention him and I haven't been able to find anything on other sites that mention Burton. Where do you think he falls on the Red's depth chart?

The Fantasy Man said...

I think as of right now Burton is at least behind Bray, Coffey and Weathers on the depth chart. But thatnks for pointing him out because he is an interesting character. I will say this, he is a dark horse to close and is the type of player that could help the Reds in the 9th. Ponder some of this....

2007 ML Stats
4-2, 2.51ERA, 1.163WHIP, 36K, 22BB in 42IP

2007 AAA Stats
0-1, 0.64ERA, 1.07WHIP, 13K, 4BB, 11H, 1ER in 14IP

These stats show a great WHIP for a young reliever who is only 26, not to mention he is 6'5", 230lb. He's a big guy who seems like he can harness his stuff. Seems like he can do a K per inning and the Reds are in need of a quality young arm to take that closer role away from Weathers. If Burton the one, we shall see.

Thanks for mentioning him. I totally breezed right over Burton as I updated this report.

Anonymous said...

thanks for the follow up on Burton. i stumbled on him while scouring the FA waiver wire looking for HOLDS. needless to say i was pleased with his numbers.

Lenzo said...

Tyler Walker 1 1/2 years from surgury possible SF closer
Bob McCrory great AFL, possible mid yr Balt closer

Anonymous said...

yeah i've seen Bob McCrory's name here and there. he has looked pretty good AFL. O's pen is in bad shape so he's seems like a legit sleeper...

Anonymous said...

RE: Tigers closer...

Jose Capellan was traded to Colorado, so he most definitely is NOT a dark horse for the Tigers' closer if Todd Jones falters. ;-)

Fernando Rodney would almost certainly take over as closer if Jones was hurt or otherwise fell apart. When Jones was hurt for a short time in 2006, Rodney closed and likely would again until Zumaya returns.

The Fantasy Man said...

Thanks for the note buddy! Its much appreciated. Actually, I didn't realize I still had Capellan listed for Detroit since he was traded to Colorado...but thanks for the note. Detroit is now updated!
FM

Anonymous said...

Your Kerry Wood assessment makes no sense. He could be an injury risk, but so far he's been fantastic. He's tied for the lead in NL saves.

Mike said...

What part doesn't make sense?? I believe Marmol will be the closer by season's end...and that's based on Wood's injury risk. I don't trust Wood. He was shaky a bit in the first two months...I mean how many saves did he blow? He's been solid in June so far, I'll give you that. But anyone who thinks Kerry Wood will last all year is crazy, thus my recommendation to handcuff Wood with Marmol. And hey, if Wood lasts all year and keeps up his recent success, then great for him....but I just can't see the the injury but not biting Wood as usual at some point this season!.

Anonymous said...

With Brian Fuentes going to LA @ ANA, do you think he will be closing and Arredondo or Sheats will set up?

Mike Kuchera said...

Yes, Fuentes will close for sure with arredondo and Shields as the set up men. I envision Shields still as your 8th inning guy and Arredondo as the 7th Inning guy since Shields has more experience.

Anonymous said...

I don't agree with a lot of that list. There is no better closer than Nathan. KRod is too high. KRod is a max effort guy that doesn't strikeout a ton of guys anymore and lets up way too many hits/base runners. If Marmol is closer, he's significantly better then Broxton, Fuentes, Valverde. Coco Cordero is better then those 3 too. Joel Hanrahan should be about 15th on that list. The guy is phenominal, and strikes out a ton of guys. The bottom 5 in no specific order should be Hoffman, Lyon, Percival, any A's closer, any M's closer unless it's Morrow.