Friday, February 15, 2008

The Fantasy Man's 2008 First Base Rankings

The Fantasy Man's 2008 First Base Rankings (Includes DH) Updated 2.15.08
10 games played determines eligibilty here

Tier 1

Albert Pujols, STL - Slow first half hampered #'s, hit .330+ in 2nd half with the bad elbow!
Ryan Howard, PHI - Slow first half and a leg injury killed his average, but his power is for real! 50+ a reality
Prince Fielder, MIL - I'm predicting a slow start but he was awfully consistent all season in '07. Expect a 290+ AVG
David Ortiz, BOS - Qualifies at DH/UTIL only. HR was down but AVG was up in '07. Switch that for '08, hampered by shoulder/knee

Tier 2
Mark Teixiera, ATL
- His .300+ AVG in '07 was a treat now tack on 35+ HR/100+ RBI potential
Lance Berkman, HOU - Down year overall after hitting 45 HR in '06. You'll find a happy medium in 2008
Justin Mourneau, MIN - 1st half was great but faded down the stretch. .275 - .285 AVG makes sense, age 27 this year
Victor Martinez, CLE - 1B/C eligibility is a treat but he's more valuable if you can keep him at catcher
Carlos Pena, TB - Surprising power, stayed consistent but he'll have to do it 2 years in a row to convince me
Travis Hafner, CLE - Played 11 games at 1B. Overall consistently disappointing makes him a great value pick

Tier 3
Garrett Atkins, COL
- Played 10 games at 1B. Terrible 1st half, 2nd half was amazing. Expect .300/25/100
Derek Lee, CHC - 46 HR in '05, injury in '06, great AVG but half the HR in '07. Where do we go from here?
Paul Konerko, CWS - 35-40 HR power is there but AVG slipped in '06. Expect much of the same
Adrian Gonzalez, SD - Hot start, faded in the middle, hot finish. This year should be a bit more consistent.
Carlos Guillen, DET - Played 36 games at 1B in 2006, penciled in as the 2008 1B starter but more valuable at SS, Injury Risk
Todd Helton, COL - 30HR days are gone but expect .320AVG/.400+OBP/15-20HR/90+RBI
Carlos Delgado, NYM - Terrible year all around in '07 makes Delgado a great value pick after the 7th round
James Loney, LAD - One of the leagues hottest in September. .300+/20/100 a real possiblility over 500+ AB

Tier 4

Kevin Youkilis, BOS - 100+ runs, .300+ AVG possible at the top of that Boston lineup, but lacks power
Nick Swisher, OAK - I wouldn't expect the 40 HR potential, more like 30 if he can stay consistent
Jarrod Saltalamacchia, TEX - Catcher eligibility increases value, 25+ HR/100+ RBI potential, but will probably catch most
Alex Gordon, KC - Played 32 games at 1B. Disappointing 2007 but his upside is tremendous, 20/20 potential
Ryan Garko, CLE - Has potential for .300/25/100 if he can stay consistent, nice sleeper potential
Billy Butler, KC - Played 7 games at 1B so only qualifies at DH/UTIL. 500+ AB means .300/25/90 potential, listed as starting 1B
Jason Giambi, NYY - If he can stay healthy is a .275/35/100 threat, but draft as if you expect half that
Lyle Overbay, TOR - Held back by injury in '07 but should be a great value sleeper pick after the 12th round
Casey Kotchman, LAA - A .300+ hitter but lacks power. Its thought that he could be a 20 HR/10 SB player
Adam LaRoche, PIT - As I predicted, LaRoche was a bust in '06. Expect slightly increased numbers
Chris Duncan, STL - Played 11 games at 1B, returning from a sports hernia surgery, should be ready for '08, age 27
Joey Votto, CIN - Strong September should land this 2008 ROY candidate the everyday 1B job
Jim Thome, CWS - Qualifies at DH/UTIL only. Power is diminishing but 30+ still attainable
Daric Barton, OAK - Rookie starter going into Spring Training so its his spot to lose, .300/.400OBP potential

The Rest
Richie Sexson, SEA
- 2007 numbers are an indication as to what you should expect for 2008
Connor Jackson, ARI - Hasn't lived up to hype, has Chad Tracy to deal with. Might not get 500 AB
Casey Blake, CLE - Serviceable fantasy contributor with versatility but .270ish has NL Only written all over it
Aubrey Huff, BAL - Quality, solid, serviceable, durable and versatile. Expect low AVG with 20+ HR potential
Nick Johnson, WAS - Will have to compete with Dmitri Young this spring after missing 2007 with a leg injury
Mike Jacobs, FLA - Has 30+ HR power but is a strikeout king
Ben Broussard, TEX - Serviceable in AL-Only leagues
Dan Johnson, OAK - People got excited about DJ but .236 AVG in 416 AB is a real bummer
Dmitri Young, WAS - .320 in 460 AB in '07 was a surprise so .300 AVG in 2008 is possible
Nomar Garciaparra, LAD - What can I say? Don't draft as your starter and make sure you have back-ups
Kevin Millar, BAL - Serviceable and durable, a low end option in AL only leagues
Matt Stairs, TOR - A nice reserve/back up with power in AL only leagues
Tony Clark, ARI - Doesn't play enough for mixed leagues
Brad Wilkerson, TEX - Two consecutive years of injury. Strikes out too much but has 20+ HR power
Ross Gload, KC - A .300+ hitter in the minors, fill-in for KC but a nice low end option for AL Only leagues
Scott Hatteberg, CIN - Could lose 1B to prospect Joey Votto
Greg Dobbs, PHI - Played 14 games at 1B, 17 in OF and the rest at 3B.
Marcus Thames, DET - Great fill-in with power, limited to AL-Only leagues
Rich Aurillia, SF - Getting older, won't get 500 AB but 10-15 HR possible, will have to stage off Daniel Ortmeier

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