Saturday, March 29, 2008

The Fantasy Man FEED - Is this worth $20 for the entire season???

Would love to boost up funds for FBE & The Fantasy Man to help make it better for 2009, so I would appreciate anyone who wants to support the cause and who appreciates all the free information I dish out on a daily basis. This is why I do the free information, in hopes that everyone will support the FEED..... Thank you in advance....

This is the first Fantasy Man FEED of 2008 sent out to current subscribers! This WILL NOT be posted every week. This is so you guys can see what goes into the FEED and what you can potentially get out of it to help your fantasy team succeed in 2008. Is it worth the investment??? You decide....

The Fantasy Man FEED

March 28, 2008
www.fantasybaseballexpress.com
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Quick Hits
- Here is your first real installment of the FEED! Keep in mind that this is a work in progress, so at times I or we may decide to switch things up a bit and add things that work and delete things that don’t work! Please keep in mind that I appreciate your feedback on a weekly basis, so if something is great, I want to hear it! If something blows, please let me know so I can look at it and make the necessary changes. Also, I spend a good few hours on this each week. If there is something that 95% of you is not using, let me know and I’ll scrap it and save myself some time. Again, thank you for the support!

- Oh, only 3 days left to sign up for
Home Run Mania . 10% discount when you mention my code thefantasyman and you get a free team when you send 2 of your friends! Hurry up and register and compete against The Fantasy Man!

- For a free salary cap game, check out
RotoHog! The market opens on Monday!Password: thechampishere League ID: 100193

The Fantasy Man’s Weekly Strategies
1. There are 8 teams playing 7 games this week – Oakland, Washington, Boston, LA Angels, Minnesota, San Diego, Houston, Atlanta…. So those of you in H2H leagues and/or daily leagues, make sure you have these guys in. Also, in weekly leagues, if you are deciding between two full-time players, pick the guy on one of these teams because they get the extra game, the extra at bats and the extra potential stats!

2. Using Middle Relievers – Keep in mind, even in the beginning of the season, its always wise to start a top notch middle reliever if your pitching staff overall is weak in the ERA/WHIP categories. In reality, I’d rather start a RP who can pitch 5 innings of shut out ball over the course of a week, strike out 4-5, walk 1, give up 2 hits and 0 ER over a guy like Tom Glavine for example who can go 6 IP, 2K, 8H, 2BB, and 3 ER. You are getting the extra K’s, the better WHIP and the better ERA…..all assuming you use the RP’s who are effective. The RP’s I’d trust right now are Broxton, Betancourt, Okajima, Accardo, Turnbow, Joba, Rauch, Marmol, Bell, Meredith…and that’s where I would stop for now. If I had to pick a guy to falter this first week, its Heath Bell…because of all the hype he’s received….

Weekly Pitching Recommendations
**Key**
No Brainers
(SP’s I’d start over the next 5 days if it were my team no matter who the opponent)
Flip A Coin (These guys I’d probably start over the next 5 games if I needed an SP to fill my active roster but knowing there is risk involved or potential. These are the guys I might look at matchups**)
Umm No! (Just what it says….UMM No! I wouldn’t start these guys if my pants were on fire!**

- The only Match ups in regards to offense I’d be cautious with are the Yankees, Red Sox, Tigers, Rockies, Brewers, Indians, Phillies, Braves…. No other teams scare me at this point! Nope, not even the Mets!

For Sunday 3/30 and Monday 3/31
No Brainers – Hudson, Halladay, Wang, Verlander, Harang, Webb, Zambrano, Shields, Sabathia, Myers, Johan, Bedard, Weaver, Snell, Oswalt, Peavy
Flip a Coin – Meche, Sheets, Guthrie, Buerhle, Bergmann ( I like the potential), Francis, Wainwright, Zito , Penny, Glavine
Umm No! – Odalis Perez, Hendrickson, Millwood, Livan Hernandez

Tuesday 4/1
No Brainers – Pedro, Dice-K, Cain, Young, Felix
Flip a Coin – Garland, Bonser, Lowe, Blanton
Umm No! – VandenHurk (But has potential to be a huge sleeper), Backe, Padilla

Wednesday 4/2
No Brainers – Harden, Lilly, Haren, Burnett, Vazquez, Carmona, Hamels, Lincecum, Billingsley
Flip a Coin – Bannister, Rogers, Perez, Mussina, Gorzelanny, Jurrjens, Garza, Cook, Slowey, Maddux
Umm No! – Wakefield, Suppan, Arroyo, Miller(No I wouldn’t ;), Redding, Cabrera, Wellemeyer, Santana, Wandy, Silva, Jennings

Thursday 4/3
No Brainers – Pedro, Dice-K, Cain, Young, Felix
Flip a Coin – Jimenez, Cueto, Westbrook, Greinke, Bonderman, Saunders, Bush, Wolf, Hughes, McGowan
Umm No! – Davis, Danks, Thompson, Chico, Moyer, Dempster, Williams, Maholm, Hampton, Sonnanstine, Loewen

Activate/Bench Recommendations by Position
C
– J.R.Towles, Chris Snyder and Kurt Suzuki round up the cheapies I like to start the week. I am a bit cautions with Geovany Soto since he didn’t have a fantastic spring, so I am thinking about sitting Soto if I have a decent back up at least for a few weeks to see if he’s for real or not! The other guy I am looking at is Ryan Doumit who hit .289, 2HR, 9RBI with a .365 OBP. Remember he has OF eligibility too and with 450AB, I believe Doumit has 20 HR potential. As of now he is the #2 catcher but he could be #1 by midseason! I’d bench Yadier Molina and his .222 spring average and I wouldn’t go crazy about I-Rod’s 8 dingers, although I’d definitely start him! He has early season slump written all over him.

1B – I have been hyping Dan Ortmeier but I’d probably sit him this week and give him a month or two to figure it out! Bench Joey Votto as he looks to start in a platoon but don’t worry so much about the slow springs from Tex, Morneau and D-Lee. I highly recommend Todd Helton, Adrian Gonzalez, Casey Kotchman, Lyle Overbay, Billy Butler and my main man Carlos Pena as are all looking good this spring and deserve to start if you have the space over guys like James Loney, Ryan Garko and Conner Jackson as the un-provens who are struggling. Travis Hafner is also a big question mark after last year’s terrible season and his spring struggles. Personally, I might bench Hafner the first week in favor of a Butler or Kotchman if I was desperate.

2B – Cano, Kendrick and Polanco will continue their torrid summers with the batting average. Realistically, you can expect 330+ from each potentially! Rickie Weeks was off to a terrible spring start, everyone make a big stink about it, he’s been dropping a bit in drafts, yet he’s batting .215 with 2 HR, 3 Trips, 10 RBI and 8 SB. If you can make up for the poor average with other players, I’d still start Weeks. He was hitting .159 last week so he has improved and heated up this past week or so. Three guys who can slip by everyone on your waiver wire… Orlando Hudson, Erick Aybar, Jorge Cantu who will probably get more playing time than anyone is expecting right now. Start Aaron Hill and Pedroia but bench Jose Lopez. Big time sleeper here is Eugenio Velez who has ripped up the spring with 14 SB and a .299 AVG in 77 AB. With Vizquel and Fransden down, Pedro Feliz shipped out and Ray Durham blowing, Velez made the team and will be an everyday starter. Assuming he stays on Course, this guy can be a Chone Figgins clone!

3B – The biggest news at 3B is that Evan Longoria was sent down after finishing the spring batting .262, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB, with a .407 OBP. He was only sent down because of money issues so DO NOT DROP LONGORIA!!! Keep him stashed! Don’t get crazy about the scorching spring Mike Morse had but he is still someone to stash in deeper leagues as a utility guy and use daily leagues when he plays. Blalock, Gordon, Kouzmanoff, and Zimmerman all looked good this spring and all batting over .300 with a couple of dingers each. I wouldn’t worry about Wigginton, Lowell and of course Miguel Cabrera. But I would be cautious with Troy Glaus who is hitting .360+ and Adrian Beltre who always has great springs only to disappoint the first month or two of the season. Edwin Encarnacion has had the most alarming spring batting .164 with a .227 OBP but he’s only had 15 K in 61 AB but has pulled in 11 RBI. That shows clutch hitting, a mix of bad luck and who the heck knows what else. He’s the one risky guy I still might start despite the bad spring. Josh Fields was sent down, Eric Chavez was out and I would keep Joe Crede benched until he shows he can hit! I might consider benching Mark Reynolds too if I had some better options.

SS – Rafael Furcal looks great and if you have a draft or auction this weekend, I suggest you grab this guy on the cheap! He looks like he’ll have a nice comeback season. Hanley appears fine, Velez I mentioned before could be a cheap source of steals with his multi-eligibility, and Michael Young looks to be back on track as well and another guy you can get cheaper than usual. I’d love to say that my other main man Felipe Lopez was starting but it doesn’t look like it. However, Christian Guzman is only hitting .250 this spring. If you have no options, leave Lopez in as a utility guy to hog some SB’s but I’d probably start guys like Bobby Crosby, Ryan Theriot, and Yuneal Escobar over Lopez. By the way, Escobar looks like he could turn into a nice player, and a nice break out candidate. Jeff Keppinger also looking like a serviceable “average” guy and should keep his job over Alex Gonzalez in my opinion. The other highly touted player (by me), Stephen Drew is ending the spring hitting .294 with 2 HR and 10 RBI and a .356 OBP….which is nice to see. I’d say its safe to start him. I would probably keep Eckstein, Bartlett and even Khalil Greene on the bench if you have better options. Jhonny Peralta hitting over .300 this spring as well.

OF – I’m telling you guys right now…. The biggest break out….. Hunter Pence! I am saying to you now that Pence in the 5th round of a draft is a freaking steal! Everyone compared Alex Gordon to David Wright, well, I am comparing Hunter Pence to David Wright….you’ll see by the end of the season. Believe it or not, Pence does have 30+ HR potential! Matt Kemp had a great spring hitting .294 with 3 HR and 18 RBI but he still looks to be platooning in the OF. Personally, I’d still start Kemp because I believe he will be productive in the at bats that he does get. Chris Young, Milledge, Teahen, Ankiel and Corey Hart as of late all look great! Felix Pie hitting .350, Aaron Rowand hitting .300, and Josh Freakin’ Hamilton hitting .448! All should be activated. I’d think about benching Jermaine Dye hitting under .199, Fukadome .246, and Willingham batting .254 with only 4 RBI and 0 HR along with Andruw Jones, Delmon Young, Alex Rios, Jason Bay all looking stinky in spring training. And my other three favorites…. Nate McLouth batting .302, 2 HR, 8 RBI and 4 SB winning the starting CF spot, Carlos Gomez and his .286 with 10 SB’s starting in CF, and Jayson Werth, well, he’s not doing very well batting under .199. Want a sneaky waiver wire pick up??... Take a look at Ben Francisco in Cleveland. My money is on him stealing an everyday job at some point in the season!

Minor League Awareness Program:
Carlos Gomez - Will start in CF
Chase Headley - Sent back to minors but should be up by late May
Josh Fields – Sent back to AAA – Joe Crede gets the 3B job
Cameron Maybin - Sent to minors because of MLB service time issues
Jay Bruce - Sent back to the minors
Joey Votto - Will platoon with Scott Hatteberg who has had a much better spring
Evan Longoria - Sent to minors because of MLB service time issues .... stupid if you ask me....
Joba Chamberlain - Will start in the bullpen
Ian Kennedy - Named the 5th starter
Colby Rasmus - Will open the year in Triple A
Andy LaRoche - Sent to minors, injured
Clayton Kershaw - Sent back to minors
Edison Volquez - Most likely gets the 3rd or 4th spot
Johnny Cueto - Most likely gets the 3rd or 4th spot
Homer Bailey – Will be sent back to minors, should be up by midseason
Carlos Gonzalez - Could start the year in AAA if he can't get his hamstring problem worked out, may start season on DL
Justin Upton - Will most likely start in the OF and is hitting .370+ this spring
Matt Antonelli - Minors but could be up by All-Star break. He's behind Headley on the depth chart

Weekly Injury Report – Here we will keep up with “useful” fantasy players we use on a daily basis…
Randy Johnson – He’s not hurt, just still getting back into shape. He’ll miss the first 6 games, that’s pretty much a lock but keep an eye on him for fantasy week 2.
John Smoltz – Says his shoulder is fine and is on track to start April 6th
Josh Beckett – They still haven’t said if he’d pitch this weekend but if not, he’d be a possible two-starter for fantasy week 2. He’s healthy, pitched 4 shut out innings in a minor league game.
JD Drew – What else is new….. he is having back problems and is unsure if he will get at bats this weekend. Bench him this week.
Curtis Granderson – 15 day DL – has a broken finger and is most likely out until the end of April!
Jeremy Hermida – Will start the season on the DL but retro active so he will be eligible to come off April 5th. I’d might still bench him until he heats up anyway.
Kaz Matsui – on DL with Hemorrhoids but should be ready to go April 5th
John Lackey – Tricep tendonitis is out until Mid May. Grab him in the later rounds (7-9) and stash on your bench!
Kelvim Escobar – Forget this guy, I’d say he’s out for the season but they haven’t confirmed that yet.
Jeff Kent – Questionable this week with a hamstring issue. Bench him this week.
Nomar Garciaparra – hand injury, out until mid April. His spot could be soaked up by prospect Blake DeWitt
Mike Cameron – Suspended for 25 games…. Dooh!
Yovani Gallardo – On track to be back mid-April. I’d pick up Manny Parra or Carlos Villanueva to take his place on your roster until Gallardo returns.
Andy Pettitte – Back issues and his start was pushed back to April 5th. Keep an eye on this situation.
Brad Lidge – Eligible to return to the closer role April 5th. Struck out 4 of the 5 batters he faced in a minor league game on Tuesday. Use Gordon as a stop gap until the 5th!
Freddie Sanchez – Has a bad shoulder but they are saying he’ll probably play, but I’d bench him if you have other options.
Chris Carpenter – Out until Late July. Recovery going well and on schedule.
Scott Kazmir – Strained elbow should be back by mid April, maybe as early as fantasy week 2.
Scott Rolen – Fractured finger looks like he is out until early May.
B. J. Ryan – If all goes well, he could be closing by Fantasy week 3!


The Fantasy Man’s Mailbag…. A couple of good questions with useful responses this week…
Question: What do you think of this trade offer?
I get: Adrian Beltre & Jake Peavy - I give up: Ryan Braun
Is this a good idea?
FM Response: Nope! Unless your offense is already top notch and you desperately need pitching, I would not do this deal! Braun will produce like a first rounder. In most cases, Braun for Peavy straight up is fair if you have a good offense and need pitching. Both rank about the same, but a top notch hitter is ALWAYS more valuable than a top notch Pitcher if they are ranked about the same....and Braun ranks slightly higher...

Question: Here is my staff for next week….
Starting: YOUNG, WEAVER, BILLINGSLEY, GORZELANNY, SLOWEY
Bench: KAZMIR AND MORALES
On Waivers: DANA EVELAND, OLSON AND GREINKE, KERSHAW, BANNISTER, COLON, RANDY JOHNSON, J SCHMIDT, C. CARPENTER….. any thoughts?
FM Response: Simple…. I’d pick up Randy Johnson and stash on your bench until he’s ready in a week or two hopefully. I’d drop Morales for him for sure. Keep Slowey and Gorzelanny in there to start this week. I also like the potential of Eveland but you can’t leave Randy sitting there on the waiver wire…

Remember...... Stay Active! Checking your team once a day keeps the doctor away......




The Fantasy Man
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