Let me preface this by saying that Derek Jeter is my favorite real life player and that I am a die hard Yankee fan. So if you haven't now just clicked off this post, let me explain why you shouldn't pass on Jeter in the early to mid rounds of your fantasy baseball league draft (R6-R8).
.300BA, 11HR, 69RBI, 11SB, 88R,179H in 596AB
Here is Jeter in 2006 at age 32 in his 2nd best year:
Jeter in his best year in 1999 (before his prime):
.349BA, 24HR, 102RBI, 19SB, 134R, 219H in 627AB
What would you say a typical projection for Jeter would be for 2009? Would you say... .300/15HR/75RBI/15SB/100R????? You don't think that's quality numbers at the weakest position in fantasy baseball leagues this season? That's my projection and I believe its modest.
Ron Shandler's projection in 2009 Baseball Forcaster (which you can purchase by clicking above)
.290BA, 12HR, 71RBI, 10SB, 93R, 170H in 586AB
Here is Jeter's 3 year average according to CBS Sports....
.323BA, 12HR, 80RBI, 20SB, 103R, 200H, 619AB
Stephen Drew - Hasn't lived up to the hype yet, potential break out in 2008 but your stretching for upside in R6, not value.
Troy Tulowitzski - Terrible first half in 2008 and injured but hit .300 in the second half. Was the first half of 2008 part of a sophomore slump or was the second half more of what we can expect? There's some risk here. Plus, he lost Matt Holliday.
Rafael Furcal - When was the last time this guy played? 'Nuff said!
Jhonny Peralta - Has the power to be a 3B, maybe he hits 30HR this year finally but it comes with a .275BA.
J.J. Hardy - Same as Peralta but seems to always have a full half season slump. Too inconsistent but has 25+ HR power.
Miguel Tejada - No comment.
Mike Aviles - Sophmore slump?