Wednesday, December 30, 2009

The Fantasy Man's 2010 Closer Report

Fantasy Man's 2010 Closer Report
Team by Team - Updated Whenever
Last Updated:
January 1st, 2010

2010 Closer Mixed League Rankings
Mariano Rivera
Jonathan Broxton
Joe Nathan
Jonathan Papelbon
Francisco Rodriguez
Joakim Soria
Jose Valverde
Heath Bell
Brian Wilson
Frank Francisco
Francisco Cordero
Andrew Bailey
Carlos Marmol
Huston Street
Brad Lidge
Ryan Franklin
Billy Wagner
Rafael Soriano
Trevor Hoffman
David Aardsma
Brian Fuentes
Jason Frasor
Matt Capps
Kerry Wood
Leo Nunez
Matt Lindstrom
Joel Zumaya
Joel Hanrahan
Fernando Rodney
Chad Qualls
Juan Gutierrez
J. Johnson
Mike Gonzalez
Octavio Dotel


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Baltimore: There should be a nice spring battle between newly acquired Mike Gonzalez and Jim Johnson. Gonzalez has superior stuff but he's a bit injury prone and has never been automatic, so bid with caution. I'd draft as a second or third closer but Jim Johnson and Koji Uehera are pretty much waiver wire material at this point.

Boston: Jon Papelbon will look to bounce back a bit in his contract year so you have to like that. Daniel Bard is waiting in the wings and could be a late round stashee in case Papelbon gets traded at the deadline...which is probably unlikely.

Chicago: Bobby Jenks is still the closer and probably a bit under hyped which could mean he can be had on the cheap. He dealt with some injury issues last year but will be ready for spring training. The dark hourse here however is Matt Thornton who could wrestle the job away should Jenks get injured or stink!

Cleveland: Kerry Wood was signed to be the primary closer last year had a down year as did Cleveland as a whole. Wood has always had health issues so handcuffing him with Chris Perez might be a smart move. Wood and Perez will be dirt cheap this year.

Detroit: Jose Valverde has signed with Detroit to be the primary closer. He'll be super solid all-around and ranks just inside the top 10 closers. Dark horse #1 should Valverde crap the bed is the oft-injured Joel Zumaya who will be dirt cheap with a ton of upside if he can stay healthy. Ryan Perry who has a 100MPH heater would be my dark horse #2 in this situation.

Kansas City: Joakim Soria is top 6 in my book but the Royals stink. The Mexicutioner has entrenched as the closer and as a candidate for 30+ saves and a fantastic ERA/WHIP! KC also has Juan Cruz as set up man, save vultur-er and holds guy.

Los Angeles: The Angels signed Fernando Rodney to help try to take away the job from Brian Fuentes. Anyone who watched the World Series knows that Fuentes is not the guy. Maybe I'm wrong but he'll be super cheap on draft day. Draft him, vulture some saves in the first half and just when Fuentes luck starts to run out, grab Rodney for the second half.

Minnesosta: Same ole Joe Nathan who gets you a lot of K's, low ERA, low WHIP, and 35-45 saves.

New York: Mariano Rivera is Mariano Rivera, what else do I need to say. He's money and even though he's another year older, he's still money. He'll stay relatively healthy and I don't feel that this is the year he'll finally breakdown as you can see that the Yankees plan to make another World Series run.... and they don't plan to do it again without Mo.

Oakland: ROY Andrew Bailey cemented himself in the role. The young pitching staff will be slightly better which means probably a ton of opportunities. Think San Francisco Giants!

Seattle: David Aardsma took over the job in the second half last year and was fantastic. He'll also be dirt cheap because no one knows if the Mariners will be any good. However, with now Cliff Lee and King Felix, you'll probably see an increase in save opportunities. Again, like San Francisco and Oakland.

Tampa Bay: Last year was a mess to try and figure out. This year there's no question that Rafael Soriano is your guy. In my opinion, he'll always be a set up type. J. P. Howell will be the set up and probably vulture a few saves when Soriano either falters or gets hurt..

Texas: Frank Francisco is a K machine and you have Neftali Feliz out there as a potential closer. It looks like Feliz will start and if so, I love Francisco who will be cheap again this year.

Toronto: Will the real Slim Shady please stand up?! Your guess is as good as mine. Jason Frasor is the listed closer on CBS.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Arizona: Chad Qualls is your penciled closer again with Aaron Heilman and Bob Howry in the mix! Juan Guetirrez saved 9 games late last year when Qualls got hurt and I wouldn't be surprised if Gutierrez steals the job away.

Atlanta: Billy Wagner is back baby! Yes, I think he'll be solid and he'll last all season. He's a quality reliever who is healthy and out of NY. Should be cheap!

Chicago: Sweet Lou announced that Carlos Marmol will be the primary closer, so that takes care of that. Marmol has electric stuff so let's hope he can get the most out of it. Huge upside here but keep in mind that there is some risk as he faltered when given the job last year.

Cincinnati: Francisco Cordero is entrenched as the primary closer and he's been decent, gets you high K's, but Cincinnati overall has struggled so opportunities could be limited.

Colorado: Huston Street is the closer. He's been a bit shakey lately but if he's healthy at spring training, he could be a top producer.

Florida: Leo Nunez took over last year and was solid. Should be cheap on draft day with not much competition.

Houston: Newly acquired Matt Lindstrom is the listed closer and should be cheap on draft day considering he hasn't proven that he can keep the job or stay healthy.

Los Angeles: Who doesn't love Jonathan Broxton???? He money.

Milwaukee: Trevor Hoffman should be your man again, expect 30-35 saves, an ERA that is increasing but with a decent WHIP.

New York: K-Rod in da house! Hopefully the Mets get another starter to give K-Rod more opportunities. I'm beginning to wonder if that will be a problem or not.

Philadelphia: Brad Lidge was terrible last year and the Phillies have no one else. Plus, I love how cheap I can get Lidge and stash! Ryan Madson would be the next guy in line but if anyone remembers the second half of last season, neither of these guys could get the job done.

Pittsburgh: Joel Hanrahan? Ugh... makes me want to punt saves. Octavio Dotel was just signed so we may have a cat fight on our hands!

San Diego: Heath Bell should be solid when and if he gets opportunites. Mike Adams in the background is money if Bell gets traded so keep an eye out here.

San Francisco: Brian Wilson quietly racked up almost 40 saves with a surprising ERA under 3 and a 1.20 WHIP. Look for Wilson to have an equally solid year now with more experience. There's some upside here.

St. Louis: Ryan Franklin took over last season and was solid. I think he'll be solid again and should go just out of the top 10 in drafts.

Washington: Matt Capps goes from one bad team to an even worse team. Good luck Matty! Have fun with that one!

Check out Todd "The True Guru" Farino's TheCloserReport.com for more updated Closer information!

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

2010 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit Tools

Fantasy Baseball advice, 2010 rankings, draft tools, etc.

2010 Fantasy Baseball Top 400 Draft Sheet
2010 Fantasy Baseball Top 50 Draft Picks
2010 Fantasy Baseball Catcher Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball First Base 1B Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Second Base 2B Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop SS Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Third Base 3B Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Outfield OF Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher SP Rankings
2010 Fantasy Baseball Closers Relief Pitcher RP Rankings

The Fantasy Man First Expert Mock Draft of 2010!

First real fantasy baseball expert mock draft of the 2010 season kicked off at Mock Draft Central last Tuesday night!

We went 23 rounds with the standard rosters -- two Cs included.

The draft order had been selected, and was as follows:
1- Tim McLeod, RotoRob
2- Daniel Dobish, OPEN Sports
3- Chris McDonnell, FantasyBaseball.com
4- Paul Bourdett, RotoExperts
5- Todd Zola, Mastersball
6- Tom Kessenich, Fanball and National Fantasy Baseball Championship
7- Brett Greenfield, Fantasy Phenoms
8- Nick Minnix, KFFL
9- Ray Murphy, Baseball HQ
10- Scott Swanay, Fantasy Baseball Sherpa
11- Paul Greco, Fantasy Pros 911
12- Mike Kuchera, Fantasy Baseball Express

As always, the boys from Fantasy Pros 911 broadcasted the event. Listen to the:
Audio Replay of in-draft audio analysis This should be pretty good as I'll probably get blasted two or three times for some of my picks!

View Draft Results Here

Mike Kuchera - Fantasy Baseball Express ANALYSIS of picks and draft

R1 Prince Fielder - POWER! POWER! POWER! I love power in the first few rounds and I like the potential of Fielder hitting close to or slightly over .300!

R2 Joe Mauer - Some might not like Mauer this early but he's playing for a big contract (if he's not extended in the off season) and he's a lock to hit +.300! Throw in 20+HR and you have the best hitting catcher in the league. I'm also not much of a position scarcity guy but this was a chance to take care of catcher early with a good solid pick. I'm felling good about Mauer staying healthy at least 90% of the year. I was actually hoping Tex or Ryan Howard would have fallen so that I could have had back to back power guys, but they went before me so I was glad to take Fielder for the power and Mauer for the position scarcity.
R3 Justin Upton - Here is Carlos Beltran numbers in his prime but with a .300+ BA and home in a hitters park! Here is Matt Kemp numbers with more power in the 3rd round!!!!! That's value!

R4 Robinson Cano - I was actually looking Brian Roberts for the consistency and steals but Cano and Aaron Hill were on the board and I love the Yankees so I went with Cano who could realistically be a .300/25/100/100 guy in 2010. I was debating between Halladay and Cano here. I went with the 2B because of position scarcity and because I could get one of the few top 2B's. Also, if you remember, Roy Halladay was a round 8-9 pick last season, so you know this year there will be a few values later one (see below).
R5 Javier Vazquez - Top 6 starters already off the board. Debated for a while between Vazquez and Beckett. I went with Vazquez because of National League and superior in K's last season. I was also thinking Beckett might slip another round because of his so-so season last year.
R6 Carlos Beltran - If he has a normal Carlos Beltran year, that's .275/30/100/20, and that's 3rd round type numbers. I don't expect Beltran to steal 20 bases but I expect a decent year after last years injury riddled season. He's an injury risk of course, but he'll be completely healthy heading into spring training with something to prove. Great value here.
R7 Josh Beckett - I was hoping he'd slip and he did. Good solid SP who is an ace that drops a few rounds. Beckett could be the Halladay of 2009 fantasy wise meaning he's the guy you get later that can certainly perform above the normal fantasy expectations.
R8 Carlos Quentin - Comeback player of the year!!!! Lots of these type of guys out there this year. Big guy, 30+HR power, .400+ OBP potential, never K's, had a great August and September, and should be healthy heading into spring training!
R9 Michael Bourn - I normally don't go after the one dimensional guys this early but I know I could use a speed guy to load up on SB and he was the highest ranking player on the board. He wouldn't last another round and he's a sure thing for 50+ bases.
R10 Joakim Soria - Figured it was time to take the last somewhat solid closer.
R11 Brandon Webb - Another comeback player who has a top 5 arm.
R12 Roy Oswalt - I'm trying to load up on good quality SP's who are aces but who are getting older. I like these guys because they're experienced and if things go right, any of them can have a fantastic bounce back year. It happens all the time. Think Kevin Millwood in 2009...... and Webb and Oswalt are superstars compared to Millwood.
R13 Miguel Tejada - SS was running thin so I went with Miggy for the BA, run, and RBI consistentcy. I don't care if he's losing power. If he hits 15 HR, thats fine. As long as he gets 199 hits again he's a fantastic value here. Don't let experts brainwash you that Tejada's power is gone and he's done. He had 199 hits last year with a great BA and scored runs. So look at Tejada as a guy who can get you 15 HR and 90+RBI with a .300+BA assuming he has a solid year like he did last year. Don't draft Tejada for power this late and your getting a great value.
R14 Carlos Zambrano - C'mon!!!! Cy Young candidate in the 14th round??!!! What's going on this year?! I love Zambrano and he's still only 29 looking to rebound slightly in 2010. Nice sleeper here, if you can call Zambrano a sleeper.
R15 Paul Konerko - Power for my CI spot. Here's another guy that no one cares about anymore that can get you .270/25+/100 with 30+HR power.
R16 Carlos Delgado - Same as Delgado. Everyone was complaining at this point that power was at a premium this year and I just found two starting and now healthy 30+HR guys with something to prove in rounds 15 & 16.
R17 Marco Scutaro - Middle infield was thing and I was praying for Alcides Escobar for the steals and I missed so I went with Scutaro in Boston to just provide serviceable numbers and hopefully 15 HR with 80+runs depending where he bats.
R18 Frank Francisco - Last good closer with K potential on the board. These guys always wait until the last few rounds on a 2nd closer so I just jumped ahead of the pack.
R19 Jermaine Dye - Same reasoning here as Konerko/Delgado. I could have went with speed but saw a chance to nab another 25+HR from a starting OF!
R20 Jarrod Saltalamacchia - Probably my biggest risk of the draft but still young enough to finally break out. Plus, everyone was gone! Even Carlos Ruiz was gone!
R21 Jake Fox - Sleeper pick here with 25+HR potential at 3B or wherever he ends up playing. He'll be a full-time player too!
R22 Phil Hughes - Upside pick assuming Hughes cracks the rotation.
R23 Joe Saunders - A solid all around good starting pitcher who gets wins!

Final Thoughts
I love these expert drafts because most of these guys are interested in making the superstar pick, that one pick where everyone goes "oooh, great pick!". Me, I just like to draft as if this was a money league because I like to see what I could potentially get at different parts of the draft. What you see here is that there is a ton of good solid veteran pitching in the middle to late rounds. Chris R. Young in San Diego wasn't even drafted! Thats an undrafted ace (despite his injury problems last year) and he's still quite young! Look at where guys like Erik Bedard and Rich Harden were drafted. You could go all hitting in the first 10 rounds and load up your pitching staff with all risky ace type pitchers who are either coming back from injury or coming back from down years. That's one way to go. Yes, power is at a premium. You can't expect a guy to hit 40HR anymore outside of the 1st round. However, as you can see with my results, you can get 25-30+HR power in and after round 15 from established players! 2B/SS/MI goes quick. It's smart to use rounds 4-8 to grab a top 10 guy at each position. Load up on power early, take a look at scarcity as you go and adjust. The overall exciting talent pool drops off considerably around round 10. After that, there's no real rhyme or reason as to who people are drafting. This is when you stop and look what positions are thin and start planning on who to pick late and when. If you make too many upside risky picks early (before round 10), your going to find out later that your team stinks. There's just not much consistency later in the draft. Its all risk, potential and upside. Take good solid players early this year and load up on risk in the 2nd half of the draft...... but that's just me.


Good luck this year!
FM

Sunday, December 06, 2009

2010 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher SP Rankings

2010 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher SP Rankings

1. Tim Lincecum

2. Johan Santana
3. Roy Halladay
4. C.C. Sabathia
5. Felix Hernandez
6. Zack Greinke
7. Justin Verlander
8. Cliff Lee

9. Jon Lester
10. Dan Haren
11. Adam Wainwright

12. Chris Carpenter
13. Josh Beckett
14. Javier Vazquez
15. Cole Hamels
16. Jake Peavy

17. John Lackey
18. Ubaldo Jimenez
19. Josh Johnson

20. Clayton Kershaw
21. Tommy Hanson
22. Matt Cain
23. Max Scherzer
24. Brandon Webb
25. Carlos Zambrano
26. Roy Oswalt
27. David Price
28. Chad Billingsley
29. Yovanni Gallardo
30. A. J. Burnett
31. Rich Harden
32. Edwin Jackson

33. Erik Bedard
34. Ben Sheets
35. Jair Jurrjens
36. Jered Weaver
37. Wandy Rodriguez
38. Scott Kazmir
39. Diasuke Matsuzaka
40. Mark Buehrle
41. Ervin Santana
42. Scott Baker
43. Brett Anderson
44. Gavin Floyd
45. J.A. Happ
46. Kevin Slowey
47. John Danks
48. Matt Garza
49. Joba Chamberlain
50. Phil Hughes
51. Rick Porcello

52. Clay Buchholz
53. Jamie Shields
54. Randy Wolf
55. Joe Saunders

56. John Maine
57. Ryan Dempster
58. Derek Lowe
59. Ricky Nolasco
60. Tim Hudson
61. Ted Lilly
62. Joel Piniero
63. Chris R. Young
64. Aaron Harang
65. Jeff Neimann
66. Johnny Cueto
67. Scott Feldman
68. Wade Davis
69. Madison Bumgarner
70. Ricky Romero
71. Marc Repcynzski
72. Francisco Liriano
73. Chris Tillman
74. Aaon Cook
75. Andy Pettitte
76. Shaun Marcum
77. Matt Latos
78. Brandon Morrow
79. Homer Bailey
80. Derek Holland
81. Bronson Arroyo
82. Joe Blanton
83. Brett Myers
84. Huroki Kuroda
85. Kevin Millwood
86. Jason Marquis
87. Jeremy Guthrie
88. Jorge De La Rosa
89. Chien-Ming Wang
90. Pedro Martinez
91. Trevor Cahill
92. Nick Blackburn
93. Carl Pavano
94. Justin Masterson
95. Tommy Hunter
96. Brad Bergesen
97. Mike Pelfrey
98. Jonathan Sanchez
99. Randy Wells
100. Bud Norris

Saturday, December 05, 2009

2010 Fantasy Baseball Outfield OF Rankings

2010 Fantasy Baseball Outfield OF Rankings

1. Ryan Braun
2. Matt Kemp
3. Carl Crawford
4. Matt Holliday
5. Grady Sizemore
6. Justin Upton
7. Jason Bay
8. Adam Lind
9. Jacoby Ellsbury
10. Jayson Werth
11. Ichiro Suzuki
12. Carlos Lee

13. Josh Hamilton
14. Carlos Quentin
15. B.J. Upton
16. Carlos Beltran

17. Andre Ethier
18. Manny Ramirez
19. Adam Dunn
20. Adam Jones
21. Shin-Soo Choo
22. Curtis Granderson
23. Nelson Cruz
24. Ben Zobrist
25. Bobby Abreu
26. Torii Hunter
27. Nick Markakis
28. Shane Victorino
29. Raul Ibanez
30. Mike Cuddyer
31. Jason Kubel
32. Hunter Pence
33. Johnny Damon
34. Alfonso Soriano
35. Andrew McCutchen
36. Alex Rios
37. Nate McLouth
38. Jay Bruce
39. Brad Hawpe
40. Carlos Gonzalez
41. Denard Span
42. Michael Bourn
43. Rajai Davis
44. Nyger Morgan
45. Ryan Ludwick
46. Corey Hart
47. Garrett Jones
48. Nick Swisher
49. Vernon Wells
50. Colby Rasmus
51. Nolan Reimold
52. Travis Snider
53. Jermaine Dye
54. Mark DeRosa
55. Franklin Gutierrez
56. Chris Coghlan
57. Drew Stubbs
58. Dexter Fowler
59. Melky Cabrera
60. Matt LaPorta
61. Cody Ross
62. Jeff Francoeur
63. Josh Willingham
64. Magglio Ordonez
65. Mike Cameron


2010 Fantasy Baseball Third Base 3B Rankings

2010 Fantasy Baseball Third Base 3B Rankings

1. Alex Rodriguez
2. Evan Longoria
3. David Wright
4. Mark Reynolds
5. Pablo Sandoval

6. Ryan Zimmerman
7. Kevin Youkilis
8. Chone Figgins
9. Aramis Ramirez
10. Michael Young
11. Gordon Beckham
12. Chipper Jones

13. Ian Stewart
14. Jorge Cantu
15. Miguel Tejada**

15. Mark DeRosa
16. Adrian Beltre
17. Alex Gordon
18. Brandon Inge
19. Brandon Wood
20. Casey McGeHee
21. Jhonny Peralta
21. Martin Prado
22. Jake Fox
23. Mat Gamel
24. Casey Blake
25. Garrett Atkins
26. Edwin Encarnacion
27. Scott Rolen
28. Kevin Kouzmanoff
29. Placido Polanco
30. Mike Lowell

31. Andy LaRoche
32. Adam Kennedy

33. Juan Uribe
34. Ryan Raburn

35. Brett Wallace
36. Pedro Alvarez
37. Mark Teahen
38. Willy Aybar
39. Brendan Harris
40. David Freese
41. Pedro Feliz
42. Eric Chavez
43. Josh Fields

2010 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop SS Rankings

2010 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop SS Rankings

1. Hanley Ramirez
2. Troy Tulowitzski
3. Jimmy Rollins
4. Jose Reyes
5. Derek Jeter
6. Stephen Drew
7. Alexei Ramirez
8. Jason Bartlett
9. Yuneal Escobar
10. Miguel Tejada
11. Rafael Furcal
12. Elvis Andrus
13. Alcides Escobar
14. Evereth Cabrera
15. J.J. Hardy
16. Asdrubal Cabrera
17. Jhonny Peralta
18. Erick Aybar
19. Ryan Theriot
20. Marco Scutaro
21. Orlando Cabrera
23. Christian Guzman
24. Juan Uribe
25. Edgar Renteria
26. Cliff Pennington
27. Brendan Ryan
28. Bobby Crosby
29. Ronny Cedeno
30. Luis Valbuena
31. Yuniesky Betancourt
32. Mike Aviles
33. Alex Gonzalez
34. Macier Izturis
35. Jeff Keppinger
36. Paul Janish
37. Jack Wilson
38. Brendan Harris
39. Cesar Izturis
40. Reid Brignac

41. Jed Lowrie
42. Adam Everett

The Fantasy Man's Fantasy Baseball Top 400 Draft Sheet

Free Fantasy Baseball Advice at www.FantasyBaseballExpress.com and it starts with a draft sheet with the top 400 fantasy baseball players ranked by position!

Take this sheet which is in PDF format and print out one copy for each draft. As you choose players, just simply cross them off the list to keep track. Use the extra space for notes or sleepers or prospects you may not see on the list. Towards the end of an auction draft when I'm looking at dollar players, I like to make short lists and I cross off the players as their choosen. Same goes with a reserve draft. So use that extra space provided. It's a simple tool that you can get anywhere but you get it with my personal rankings.

Get it HERE

More Draft Tools to add to this coming soon!

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

2010 Fantasy Baseball Closers RP Rankings

2010 Fantasy Baseball Closers RP Rankings

Mariano Rivera
Jonathan Broxton
Jonathan Papelbon
Francisco Rodriguez
Joe Nathan
Joakim Soria
Jose Valverde
Heath Bell
Brian Wilson
Frank Francisco
Andrew Bailey
Brad Lidge
Ryan Franklin
Carlos Marmol
Huston Street
Bobby Jenks
Francisco Cordero
Billy Wagner
Rafael Soriano
Trevor Hoffman
David Aardsma
Brian Fuentes
Jason Frasor
Matt Capps
Kerry Wood
Leo Nunez
Matt Lindstrom
Joel Zumaya
Fernando Rodney
Chad Qualls
Juan Gutierrez
J. Johnson
Mike Gonzalez
Joel Hanrahan