Wednesday, March 23, 2011

2011 Verducci Rule Candidates

Fantasy Baseball experts and analysts nationwide are notorious for creating useful draft strategies. Many work, some are just noise.   Within those strategies there's comeback players, magical age of 27, third year starting pitchers, etc.  The Verducci Rule is an advanced subject quality managers need to at least be aware of. Tom Verducci of Sports Illustrated publishes an annual list of young pitchers (under 25) who had a significant bump in innings pitched from the previous year (more than 30 IP). It’s a rule of thumb that draws a correlation with possible injury risk. The lower the age, the more likely the risk. This is not a DO NOT DRAFT list, it’s simply a BE AWARE list.

2011 Candidates:
1. Madison Bumgarner (age 21) +73 IP
2. Matt Latos (age 23) + 66.1 IP
3. David Price (age 25) +58.2 IP
4. Phil Hughes (age 24) +46 IP
5. Gio Gonzalez (age 25) +41 IP
6. Travis Wood (age 23) +38.1 IP
(source: Tom Verduci SI.com)

I like (as I’ve said) numerous pitchers on this list to take the next step into the elite class. I’d caution against drafting multiples of them to the same team. Feel free to draft any guy your heart fancies, but don’t say you weren’t warned.

Just a tip from your friend,

Norman Homers

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