Thursday, June 21, 2012

The Fantasy Man - Nice Buy-Low Opportunities

Wow! Can you believe the injuries this year? The players we thought would be awesome? The players we thought would bust? That's why I don't listen to anyone by myself.  Everyone in the world said the Nationals would shut down Stephen Strasburg after 170 innings or so but if you listed to the GM, he never actually said that out loud. Melky Cabrera obviously not a bust. Ryan Howard still not back yet (I figured All-star break at minimum), Tim Lincecum killing fantasy hopes...... its all just too much for one guy to handle!

Luckily, there are a ton of great buy low opportunities so lets run through some of my favorites...

1. Rickie Weeks - Every year we're thinking 20HR/30SB or more and usually we get burnt. This year, Weeks is batting .180/5HR/6SB and has 8 hits in his last 7 games so don't go super crazy here, but definitely worth a look if you can get him cheap. He's healthy and so has a lot of catching up to do.

2. Ike Davis - Batting .190 with 7 HR and 33 RBI and sporting a 5 game hit streak. he was on the verge of being sent to the minors so this might be the beginning of a nice hot streak.

3. Tim Lincecum - His ERA and WHIP seem to be tanking in a weekly basis, but he's not giving up a lot of hits and his strikeouts are there.  Its more like the 3-run HR in the 5th inning that gets him along with the higher then normal walk rate and the extra high pitch counts.  People are getting antsy here and thinking he's hurt.  I dont think he's hurt so I'm willing to attempt a low buy trade and stock up for the second half.  He can't be this bad all year!

4. Cliff Lee - Someone asked me if he should trade his Stephen Strasburg and some prospects in a keeper league for Cliff Lee and Ian Kinsler (he needed a 2B upgrade) to be in a position to win a championship. I understand the keeper value of Strasburg but thats a no brainer deal. Imagine how good Lee will be when he actually starts accumulating wins....

Start with these guys and gear up for the second half!!

FM

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